Paul Crowley ([info]ciphergoth) wrote,
@ 2008-09-25 15:47:00
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Entry tags:election, politics

What will happen tomorrow at 2100 EDT?
In the latest bizarre twist to afflict this year's Presidential elections, John McCain has called for tomorrow's Presidential debate to be postponed; Obama is refusing. How is this going to turn out?

Poll #1266740 Will the debate go ahead tomorrow?
This poll is closed.
Open to: All, detailed results viewable to: All

Will both Presidential candidates take part in tomorrow's debate?

View Answers

Yes they will
12 (33.3%)

No, they won't
14 (38.9%)

Some third thing will happen
4 (11.1%)

I have no idea, I just like the clicky
6 (16.7%)

If the debate doesn't take place, what will have happened is

View Answers

McCain refuses to debate
30 (83.3%)

Obama refuses to debate
1 (2.8%)

Both candidates refuse to debate
0 (0.0%)

There is no chance the debate won't take place
1 (2.8%)

Something else
2 (5.6%)

Clicky clicky clicky
2 (5.6%)

If the debate goes ahead as planned, ABC will announce that the result of their viewer's poll is

View Answers

A win for McCain
8 (22.9%)

A draw
5 (14.3%)

A win for Obama
13 (37.1%)

Something else
2 (5.7%)

Clicky clicky clicky
7 (20.0%)



Intrade have a market open on this

Update:
WASHINGTON (AP) — Republican John McCain says he's going to be at the first presidential debate, even though Congress doesn't have a bailout deal. With less than 10 hours until the debate was scheduled to start, the McCain campaign announced that the Arizona senator would travel to the University of Mississippi. The campaign said after the forum he will fly back to Washington to continue working on the financial crisis. — AP Top News at 11:40 a.m. EDT

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[info]palmer1984
2008-09-25 03:04 pm UTC (link)
The answer to the first one should be "yes they probably will."

And my answer to the last should really be "a very marginal win for Obama."

(Reply to this)


[info]palmer1984
2008-09-25 04:21 pm UTC (link)
I also don't understand why anyone thinks it will be a win for McCain. Surely Obama is in a much stronger position due to the financial catastrophe now...

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[info]dennyd
2008-09-25 04:47 pm UTC (link)
Depends on the demographic of ABC viewers, doesn't it?

(Reply to this) (Parent)

[info]ciphergoth
2008-09-25 04:52 pm UTC (link)
I think the purpose of this stunt is to lower expectations for McCain, so he can be considered to win if he just shows up.

It's looking less and less Santos-Vinick and more Bartlet-Richie every day. (Yes, I know I'm obsessed...)

(Reply to this) (Parent)(Thread)

[info]devilgate
2008-09-26 11:07 am UTC (link)
Was Richie the one who said, "Crime, huh!" or something (after the SS guy got shot), and Bartlet said, "That's when I decided I was going to crush you"? Or some such. I should watch it all again.

(Reply to this) (Parent)(Thread)

[info]ciphergoth
2008-09-26 12:20 pm UTC (link)
BARTLET: In the future, if you're wondering, "Crime. Boy, I don't know" is when I decided to kick your ass.

(Reply to this) (Parent)(Thread)

[info]devilgate
2008-09-26 12:22 pm UTC (link)
Thank you. :-)

(Reply to this) (Parent)

[info]lovingboth
2008-09-25 07:19 pm UTC (link)
Potential for some serious inside trading there.

(Reply to this)


[info]alan1957
2008-09-25 10:52 pm UTC (link)
First up, I hope you don't mind but I've just added you to my LJ flist...at the suggestion of Mad Dog, but which I should have done ages ago...

as to the post I believe that Obama holds (almost) all the aces here and that McCain would have far prefered to debate if the polls were showing (as they were last week) heavily in his favour. With some (one?) of them showing the economic crisis as leaching support away from the GOP, then I would imagine that he can't afford two heavy drops in the polls on top of one another.

Plus I'm sure that although Palin might shore up the Christian-Right vote (that pretty much hates McCain) and that she seems to have appealed to some woman based on her sex...the Palin honeymoon will be over the moment people learn more about her.
My God! Surely calling two of your children Trig and Track has gotta be worth a million or so less votes for the Republicans?!

(Reply to this)


[info]lovelybug
2008-09-26 10:55 am UTC (link)
It's an amazingly stupid move on the part of the McCain campaign, so I still find it very very hard to believe they'll really go through with it.

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